I believe that once the COVID19 lockdown is
over, UK society will need to embrace a new social reality. The ‘old’ social
contract between government and the people has been rather turned on its head
by the necessary responses to the pandemic and there is recognition that the
economic impact will require huge government intervention.
During the crisis, key workers have been the
ones that have kept society functioning. Those key workers are often people who
view their work as a calling such as doctors and nurses, where salary is not
the key driver for their career choice and money isn’t a method of scoring
success.
Other key workers, such as supermarket staff,
drivers and binmen, have traditionally low-paid and often insecure jobs out of necessity
and lack of choice.
An article in the Independent
today suggests that up to a third of the key workers earn less than £10 per
hour.
When all of this passes and we emerge from our cocoons
into the new normal, I hope that we will recognize the moral injustice of this
and do something about it. Indeed, should no action be taken, there will be
palpable anger amongst the populous.
One answer would be finding a way to better
reward the low paid and disadvantaged. I have long thought that as a country we
have the wealth and ability to provide every adult of working age with an
income over and above what they earn.
The government are now uniquely placed to take
action on this. They are taking steps to try and mitigate against the economic
maelstrom that will follow as the impact of locking down the country feeds
through into the economy. They are seeking to provide mechanisms that will
mitigate against unemployment, collapse of businesses and turmoil in the
financial markets. They have pledged £30bn so far in funds, but have also
offered loan guarantees to business banking lenders and recognized that they
will need to offer bailouts to some business sectors.
So, how can we also afford to support the
economy and correct the moral injustice of the low pay of our key workers?
The answer is to set up a UK Sovereign Wealth Fund.
Income generated from this fund would be divided up equally between every
working age British Citizen. To be clear, this Citizen Bonus would not be taken
into account when calculating minimum wage rates, welfare entitlements, student
loan repayments or pension payments.
Say the Citizen Bonus is £1,000 per head tax
free. To some that may not seem a lot, but to a low paid worker on £8.75 an
hour that could be the equivalent of 3 weeks wages. It could be the difference
between making the rent or feeding the children.
The bad news that this would probably cost the
UK about £30bn a year and therefore require a Sovereign Wealth fund in excess
of £600bn.
The good news is that with a bit of nimble
footwork, political will and deft project management, the government can start
to seed the fund and in these unpredictable times are uniquely placed to kick start the wealth fund.
This is how:
- Any government bailout to companies would require a company to lodge equity into the UK Sovereign Wealth Fund. This would be accompanied by warrants that would allow the wealth fund to purchase equity at a future date at a set rate, a method employed by Warren Buffett when bailing out Goldman Sachs.
- The government have set up the Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CLBILS) that allows companies to borrow money from banks while the government guarantees the loan against bad debt. Effectively, the government is offering free insurance against bad debt. By insisting on an ‘insurance payment’ on each loan, this money can be used to seed the wealth fund.
- The current Bank of England (BoE) Quantitive Easing(QE) scheme can be amended to allow the BoE to use the money generated by QE to be sent direct to the wealth fund and be used to invest in equities, property etc. This would also boost the value of pensions and investments and help protect the insurance industry.
- Any direct business grants from central or local government would require the company receiving the grant to place a proportion of the value in equity into the wealth fund. This would include Research & Development grants.
- A change in Land Laws to make it mandatory that any income generated by UK land or property be paid to a UK tax domicile or UK incorporated company. A proportion of the extra tax revenue would be paid to the wealth fund.
- The law on trusts would be reviewed, especially family trusts, to ensure that when these trusts pass to a new generation of family, a small proportion of the investment will be passed to the wealth fund.
- The National Trust would be asked to pay a small levy based on profit to the wealth fund.